Methodology
The Live Map turns public, open signals into a handful of plain indicators. Everything on it follows the same discipline — real data, fixed rules, and stated limits.
Every indicator compares a place to its own recent baseline, not to other places. 100% means "normal for here."
The scoring is deterministic — fixed rules and thresholds. The same inputs always give the same result. No AI decides what you see.
Where a value is an upper bound or an estimate, we say so. Missing data is shown as missing, never invented.
Public flight and vessel signals, government notices, public-domain weather models and open reference data. Sources are named per method.
THE METHODS
How unusual the media attention around a country is right now.
Measures — a live read of the global news stream, country by country: is this country being covered more or less than usual, and how much of that coverage is about security and conflict.
Source: global public news monitoring (GDELT) · media activity, not confirmed events
How busy the airspace is versus how busy it normally is at this hour.
Measures — current air traffic over the combined theatre as a percentage of what is expected for this time of day; 100% is normal.
Source: adsb.lol · airplanes.live · adsb.fi · a relative indicator of tracked aircraft, not a headcount
Whether current and near-term weather helps or hinders air and sea operations at the map point.
Measures — two values: a category (Favorable / Marginal / Unfavorable), set by the single worst critical factor, and an impact score 0–100, the combined weather pressure. Read separately for aircraft and for vessels.
Source: NOAA GFS / GFS-Wave · SIGMET · METAR · a doctrine estimate, not a go / no-go order
Restricted airspace and official flight notices.
Measures — notices sorted by fixed rules into High / Medium / Low importance, each carrying the reasons behind its rating. Where a notice publishes a real boundary — a polygon, an airway, a named zone — we draw that exact shape; a plain circle appears only as an honest fallback.
Source: FAA notices · published airspace catalogues
What an aircraft appears to be — inferred from open signals, never a definitive claim.
Measures — aircraft broadcast their position, and often a type code and callsign, on public ADS-B. From those open signals we describe what an airframe appears to be and its usual role. We never assert intent, or what a specific flight is doing.
Source: open ADS-B type codes & callsigns · public type / registration catalogues · shown as inference with confidence, not fact
Where aircraft are, and how far a sensor could geometrically see.
Measures — live positions merged from several public ADS-B feeds so one aircraft is shown once. For surveillance-capable aircraft, the range rings are a geometric line-of-sight horizon from the aircraft's live altitude, capped at a sensor's published range — an upper bound of what could be seen past the Earth's curve, not a claim the radar is on.
Source: adsb.lol · airplanes.live · adsb.fi · open registries
Ships at sea.
Measures — vessel positions from public AIS; flag derived from the ship's identity number, class from its declared type and naval registries, with military and government vessels highlighted. Describes what a ship is, not what it intends.
Source: AIS · MMSI country ranges · vessel class registry
Fixed sites and heat signatures.
Measures — a static reference layer of bases, airports, power and oil-gas sites from open datasets. NASA satellite thermal detections are matched within a few km of a site, and a learned baseline mutes constant industrial flares so only unusual heat surfaces. A hotspot near a site is a heat signature, not a confirmed strike or fire.
Source: GEM · OpenStreetMap · OurAirports · NASA FIRMS
Notices for the water.
Measures — official navigational warnings, the maritime equivalent of airspace notices, from naval and national hydrographic broadcasts, drawn as water-area advisories and filtered so expired ones drop off.
Source: NGA broadcast warnings · national hydrographic offices · Royal Navy (UKMTO)
We're working to bring in more — and better — data. The strongest sources aren't free: higher-resolution feeds, commercial imagery and wider coverage all cost real money. Closing that gap is part of what we're building.
Data principles
Because every method is rule-based and every rating carries its reasons, an indicator is never a black box. The map shows you where to look — and shows its work when you ask.